What are the odds of all of these verses being true

What are the odds of all of these verses being true What are the odds of all of these verses being true What are the odds of all of these verses being true
Introduction
First 13 statements
Statement 14 to 26
Statement 27 to 40
The Resurrection
Prophecy
THE PROBABILITY
Blog
Contact


What are the odds of all of these verses being true

What are the odds of all of these verses being true What are the odds of all of these verses being true What are the odds of all of these verses being true
Introduction
First 13 statements
Statement 14 to 26
Statement 27 to 40
The Resurrection
Prophecy
THE PROBABILITY
Blog
Contact
More
  • Introduction
  • First 13 statements
  • Statement 14 to 26
  • Statement 27 to 40
  • The Resurrection
  • Prophecy
  • THE PROBABILITY
  • Blog
  • Contact
  • Introduction
  • First 13 statements
  • Statement 14 to 26
  • Statement 27 to 40
  • The Resurrection
  • Prophecy
  • THE PROBABILITY
  • Blog
  • Contact

A SHORT LESSON ON PROBABILITY

  The following examples   show the chance of guessing the truthfulness of any number of scientific Biblical statements before verification. 


 In every Algebra II book, there is a Law which says the chance of flipping a coin and having it landing on heads each time is one chance out of 2^n (2 to the nth power) where n is the number of times you flip the coin. 


EXAMPLE I


  If I flip a coin one time then it can either land on heads or tails. So, the chance of landing on heads is one chance out of 2^1 (where n is 1) which is 2 to the first power or 2.

EXAMPLE II

  If I flip a coin twice then it could land on  Heads (H  )first and H second------It could land on H first and Tails ( T ) second-----It could land on T first and H second or  it could land on T first and T second.


To say it differently the two flips could give us HH, HT, TH or TT which are four possible outcomes or 2^2nd power ( 2 to the second power ). In this case n is 2 and we have 4 possible outcomes.  2^2=2x2 


Thus, it follows that we have one chance in four of landing on heads each time.

EXAMPLE III

 

Example III: It follows that if I flip a coin three times in a row it follows that there could be 2^3 (or 2 to the third power) outcomes. The number of possible outcomes is 8 if n = 3.  They are as follows:  2^3 = 2x2x2 

HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, TTH, THT, TTT which gives us a total of 8 outcomes which is 2^3. 


Thus, we would have one chance in 8 of landing on heads each time.

EXAMPLE IV

  

Using the same logic, it follows if I flip a coin four times in a row, the chance of landing heads each time is one chance in 2^ 4 power (2 to the 4th power which is  2x2x2x2 ) or one chance in 16 if n = 4.

EXAMPLE V

  

The chance of landing on Heads each time is 50% and when I guess whether something is true or false without a clue as to the truthfulness of a statement the odds would still be 50%. 


Therefore, if I were to guess whether or not 3 different statements are true or not,  my guess could be the following if T = true and F= false then I could only end up with the following outcomes for making the three guesses : TTT, TTF TFT, TFF , FTT, FTF, FFT & FFF or 8 possible outcomes. 


The three guesses would give us 8 outcomes or 2^3 power outcomes which is exactly the same number of possible outcomes we get when we flip a coin 3 times.

EXAMPLE VI

  

Likewise, it follows if I found 35 scientific statements in the Bible which were beyond the wisdom of man at the time it was written, and if the writer were to guess the truthfulness of the statements, then there would be one chance in 2^35 power of being correct each time. 


Two to the 35thpower is 34,359,738,368. This would be absolutely amazing.


 If I  were to have guessed the truthfulness of 35 scientific statements in the Bible thousands of years ago with a 50% chance of being correct each time, I  would have only one chance in 34,359,738,368 of being correct on 35 guesses in a row without a single incorrect guess. 


 That is exactly what happens in the Bible. At least 35 scientific statements are listed in the Bible which were beyond the wisdom of man at the time they were written.

QUICK MATH REVIEW

You don't have to understand the probability to get the intended message.

  

NOTICE THAT EVERY TIME I ADD A SCIENTIFIC FACT TO THE LIST WHAT HAPPENS TO THE PROBABILITY. FOR THE FIRST FIVE SCIENTIFIC STATEMENTS GIVEN, THE PROBABILTY OF GUESSING WHETHER THE FIVE STATEMENTS WERE CORRECT EACH TIME OR NOT WENT FROM 1/2 for the first guess to 1/4 for the second to 1/8 for the third guess to 1/16 for the Forth and to 1/32 for the fifth guess. The probability for guessing the truthfulness of another scientific fact is cut in half with each additional fact added. 


Since the chance of being correct five times in a row is 1/32   or 1/(2^5). 


What is the chance of being correct 6 times in a row? Fill in the blank_______


USE A CALCULATOR --- HINT:  IF I USE A CALCULATOR FOR EXAMPLE TO FIND 2 TO THE 11 TH POWER,  YOU WOULD FIRST PRESS 2 ON THE CALCULATOR THEN THE Y^X ( Y TO THE X POWER ) BUTTON AND THEN THE 11 FOR THIS EXAMPLE AND THEN THE EQUAL BUTTON.

A) What would be the chance of getting 10 T or F guesses correct each time? _______

B) What would be the chance of getting 20 T of F guesses correct each time? _______

C) What would be the chance of getting 33 T or F guesses correct each time? _______

SEE ANSWERS BELOW AFTER YOU GET YOUR ANSWER.

 

  

FROM THE VISUAL CHART ABOVE WE SEE:

FIRST GUESS HAS 2 OUTCOMES T or F- ----- SECOND GUESS HAS 4 OUTCOMES TT, TF, FT or FF—---- THIRD GUESS ( not on chart ) HAS 8 OUTCOMS TTT, TTF, TFT, TFF, FTT, FTF, FFT, FFF------- FOURTH GUESS HAS 16 OUTCOMES. THE FIST ONE I SEE IS TTTT. CAN YOU NAME THE OTHERS? THE NUMBER OF OUTCOMES DOUBLE WITH EACH GUESS. 


THERE WILL ONLY BE ONE CHANCE OUT OF ALL THE POSSIBLE OUTCOMES BEING TRUE EACH TIME.


VISUALLY WE THERFORE SEE THE NUMBER OF POSSIBLE OUTCOMES DOUBLE WITH EACH SCIENTIFIC STATEMENT WE ADD TO OUR LIST.


ANSWERS TO THE QUESTIONS ON THE PREVIOUS PAGE  BY USE OF CALCULATOR.

ANSWER TO THE FIRST  FILL IN THE BLANK ON THE PREVIOUS PAGE IS 1/64 (OR ONE CHANCE OUT OF 2 TIMES 32).

ANSWER TO A ) IS ONE CHANCE OUT OF 1024 OR 1/1024

ANSWER TO B ) IS ONE CHANCE OUT OF 1, 048, 576 OR 1/1,048,576

ANSWER TO C ) IS ONE CHANCE OUT OF 8,589,934,592 OR 1/8,589,934,592


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